WRECKED Housebuilders hit out
at banks for sending construction industry
spiralling into crisis By Ian Fraser SCOTLAND'S HOUSEBUILDERS have hit out at Britain's banks for tipping their industry into crisis and are pleading for government help to rescue them from a downturn that is expected to spark over 10,0000 industry job losses in the current year.
Jonathan Fair, chief executive of housebuilders' group Homes For Scotland, believes banks and building societies have precipitated a crisis for the sector which will cause the SNP government to miss its target of boosting new homes construction to 35,000 a year by 2015.
Fair said: "The banks are taking a very myopic view. The mortgage drought that they have created is jeopardising some of the very businesses that they have lent to on the corporate side.
"The banks have become far too conservative in their approach to risk, taking a narrow view of their own interests without thinking about the consequences of their actions for companies, employment and the wider economy. If current trends continue, it's inevitable that some of our member companies are going to face severe difficulties."
So-called volume housebuilders employ 52,500 people in Scotland, but Fair predicts that between 10% and 20% fewer homes will be built in the current year. Amid widespread reports of layoffs among volume housebuilders, industry sources have estimated job losses in Scotland alone at around 10,500, with work on building sites in many locations grinding to a halt.
Many housebuilders took on massive debts to fund acquisitions of land and rival companies at the peak of the credit bubble. However, since the credit crisis started last August, they have faced the double whammy of higher-priced debt and the banks' growing reluctance to provide affordable mortgages.
Since last summer, banks have been demanding higher deposits from mortgage borrowers, as well as rationing their loans. In Scotland the number of new mortgages slumped by 20% to 16,000 in the first quarter of 2008, compared to the 40% fall seen in the UK, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders.
Fair is demanding that the Scottish government, Westminster government and the Bank of England step in to avert catastrophe. He is urging them to put pressure on lenders to amend their behaviour so it becomes easier for first-time buyers and key workers to obtain mortgages. "They can also introduce measures to improve the lot of first-time buyers and key workers, for example a temporary suspension of stamp duty," said Fair.
He believes the £50 billion swap deal announced by the Bank of England in April - which permits banks to exchange mortgage securities for gilt-edged securities - is insufficient. "There's still an estimated £30bn shortfall between demand for new mortgages and available funding."
Ken Ross, chairman and chief executive of Elphinstone Group, said: "In view of the problems facing first-time buyers and key workers, I would call on the Treasury to adjust stamp duty and to provide additional tax reliefs."
Fair warned the current mortgage drought is slowing housebuilding activity to the extent there will be "severe supply shortages 12 months' time".
The Scottish government last November set a target of increasing the number of new homes built each year in Scotland to 35,000 by 2015, up from about 25,000. However, Homes For Scotland maintains that Scotland's housing market is holding up better than that south of the Border. "We don't have a high level of unemployment. We have never suffered the same levels of house-price inflation, affordability is more palatable and we have a more secure mixture of tenures, which makes us less sensitive to credit market problems than the rest of the UK," he said.
"Scotland does not have the same issues of boom and bust as the English market," said Ross. "It is not a given that property prices are going to fall by 20-25%. However there are issues on the demand side, including a lack of confidence, a lack of certainty and a perceived lack of finance."
Alastair Stewart, analyst at Dresdner Kleinwort, said: "Basically, Scotland seems to be holding up better than most of England. However, it's impossible to tell how long that will last."
Share prices in quoted housebuilders last week slumped by 20% (bringing cumulative losses of 60% to 95% for the past 12 months) on investor fears some may be forced to write down the value of their land, perform discounted rights issues and swap debt for equity to cope with the deepening housing slump.
Worst hit was Barratt Developments which rushed out a statement denying it would breach banking covenants. Stewart warned investors against buying Barratt shares "at any price" because they have "no means of visible support". Barratt acquired rival group Wilson Bowden at the peak of the market in April 2007 for £2.2 billion. The combined group had net debts of £1.7bn as at December 31, more than six times its current market value of £270 million.
Merrill Lynch last week downgraded Barratt alongside five other housebuilders: Bellway, Berkeley, Galliford Try, Persimmon and Redrow. Merrills' analyst Mark Hake said: "There is growing evidence of consumers now behaving in a manner similar to that seen in the early 1990s, in that concerns over job security and falling house prices are leading to reluctance to make a house purchase."
Most large Scottish-based housebuilding groups including Gladedale, Miller Group and Stewart Milne were unavailable for comment.
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Posted by: Andrew Peacock, Boness on 11:17pm Sat 14 Jun 08
Now would be the ideal time using Scotlands Oil Wealth to build " COONCIL HOOSES "
Unimployment.. Need .. Perfect timing
At this time can I ask you to support the need to stop the Slab supported lib dum from selling the bonus harbour to a dutch multinational
chec oot Falkirk cooncill web and vote NO
Now would be the ideal time using Scotlands Oil Wealth to build " COONCIL HOOSES "
Unimployment.. Need .. Perfect timing
At this time can I ask you to support the need to stop the Slab supported lib dum from selling the bonus harbour to a dutch multinational
chec oot Falkirk cooncill web and vote NO
Posted by: CFA, Edinburgh on 1:53am Sun 15 Jun 08
Surely it is quite ironic that housebuilders, whose businesses were based on customers borrowing at aggressive levels, are now themselves experiencing the downsides of excessive leverage?
We can't blame them for seeking some corporate welfare, but subsidising uneconomic loans is not going to be a sustainable way forward, as the price of land will be kept at an unrealistically high level, hurting the other potential purchasers of property. Arguably, they are partly the cause of the lack of liquidity in the market for housing land, as they have considerable land banks which they have held onto, and could now be required to sell in a distressed market.
None of this is necessarily going to be bad for consumers, as a more liquid and steady market for land and housing (both new-build and pre-existing) would benefit buyers and purchases. From an aesthetic level as well, the tract housing built by these companies is not exactly an example of interesting architecture.
At the end of the day, a 10% reduction in real house prices would be a good way to help first-time buyers.
Surely it is quite ironic that housebuilders, whose businesses were based on customers borrowing at aggressive levels, are now themselves experiencing the downsides of excessive leverage?
We can't blame them for seeking some corporate welfare, but subsidising uneconomic loans is not going to be a sustainable way forward, as the price of land will be kept at an unrealistically high level, hurting the other potential purchasers of property. Arguably, they are partly the cause of the lack of liquidity in the market for housing land, as they have considerable land banks which they have held onto, and could now be required to sell in a distressed market.
None of this is necessarily going to be bad for consumers, as a more liquid and steady market for land and housing (both new-build and pre-existing) would benefit buyers and purchases. From an aesthetic level as well, the tract housing built by these companies is not exactly an example of interesting architecture.
At the end of the day, a 10% reduction in real house prices would be a good way to help first-time buyers.
Posted by: fifer on 7:54am Sun 15 Jun 08
builders rode on the back of inflated prices for their houses for years. They did not say anything then and now cry foul. Most of the new build in my area was bought as second homes locals could not afford on the whole the prices.
builders rode on the back of inflated prices for their houses for years. They did not say anything then and now cry foul. Most of the new build in my area was bought as second homes locals could not afford on the whole the prices.
Posted by: cedrix, glasgow on 9:03am Sun 15 Jun 08
Oh my heart bleeds that all these housebuilders who have screwed people over by creating false prices,over-charged people who can't afford "the dream", driven up the market price and priced, not only first time buyers out of the market, but others who aren't prepared to borrow to limits they can't afford are crying foul because no one can afford to pay their mortgage anymore!!!!
Get a grip!
Oh my heart bleeds that all these housebuilders who have screwed people over by creating false prices,over-charged people who can't afford "the dream", driven up the market price and priced, not only first time buyers out of the market, but others who aren't prepared to borrow to limits they can't afford are crying foul because no one can afford to pay their mortgage anymore!!!!
Get a grip!
Posted by: iang, Glasgow on 10:15am Sun 15 Jun 08
Considering the those involved in the cash for honours row were all property developers pumping millions in to Tony Blairs permeirship, it gladdens me to see them suffer now. The state in which he and they have left this country in they have a cheek complaining about losing any money.
Considering the those involved in the cash for honours row were all property developers pumping millions in to Tony Blairs permeirship, it gladdens me to see them suffer now. The state in which he and they have left this country in they have a cheek complaining about losing any money.
Posted by: JamesB on 10:30am Sun 15 Jun 08
What a lot of rot from builders in blaming banks for their predicament, banks ARE still providing mortgages, however they now only provide them to those who have proved they can balance their money by having the necessary deposit and that they can afford the re-payments. This was always mortgages were made available in the past.
What a lot of rot from builders in blaming banks for their predicament, banks ARE still providing mortgages, however they now only provide them to those who have proved they can balance their money by having the necessary deposit and that they can afford the re-payments. This was always mortgages were made available in the past.
Posted by: martin, edinburgh on 7:38pm Sun 15 Jun 08
Its shame kenneth ross`s company ELPHINSTONE HOMES doesnt provide quality built homes the`re certainly not priced for the firet time buyer ,I know ive got one - Local MP involved , Buyer beware banners been up , 1000s of leaflets handed out in ayrshire warning of this company & they way it does business .
Sadly were stuck with this mess and it doesnt help the way the housing markets is going but i dont think this man justifys comments of anything regarding the building industy considering what they have done with us and other on this site .
Its shame kenneth ross`s company ELPHINSTONE HOMES doesnt provide quality built homes the`re certainly not priced for the firet time buyer ,I know ive got one - Local MP involved , Buyer beware banners been up , 1000s of leaflets handed out in ayrshire warning of this company & they way it does business .
Sadly were stuck with this mess and it doesnt help the way the housing markets is going but i dont think this man justifys comments of anything regarding the building industy considering what they have done with us and other on this site .
Posted by: martin, edinburgh on 7:46pm Sun 15 Jun 08
[bold]Forgive my spelling errors ! Im so enraged with Kenneth Ross & Elphinstone homes[/bold]
Forgive my spelling errors ! Im so enraged with Kenneth Ross & Elphinstone homes Posted by: accuser, UK on 9:28pm Sun 15 Jun 08
"Falling house prices are leading to reluctance to make a house purchase". Madness.
"Falling house prices are leading to reluctance to make a house purchase". Madness.
Posted by: Al, Glasgow on 11:21pm Sun 15 Jun 08
Should not really be wishing this but I am quite glad these guys are being squeezed as they have had it so good for so long. Another potential fallout from this is a large number of tradesmen start to lose their jobs and again I am not too sympathetic as these guys have fleeced us all for years now, they charge extortionate rates (if they even turn up), the dont pay tax on anything, they drive about in teh biggest cars and basically have become the greedy rich of this country. Not saying this through jealousy as I am fairly comfortable and do have a large car but simply because these guys have robbed the other taxpayers for years. Not really looking for trouble in the property market but wont shed a tear for housebuilders or tradesmen.
Should not really be wishing this but I am quite glad these guys are being squeezed as they have had it so good for so long. Another potential fallout from this is a large number of tradesmen start to lose their jobs and again I am not too sympathetic as these guys have fleeced us all for years now, they charge extortionate rates (if they even turn up), the dont pay tax on anything, they drive about in teh biggest cars and basically have become the greedy rich of this country. Not saying this through jealousy as I am fairly comfortable and do have a large car but simply because these guys have robbed the other taxpayers for years. Not really looking for trouble in the property market but wont shed a tear for housebuilders or tradesmen.
Posted by: Al, Glasgow on 11:21pm Sun 15 Jun 08
Should not really be wishing this but I am quite glad these guys are being squeezed as they have had it so good for so long. Another potential fallout from this is a large number of tradesmen start to lose their jobs and again I am not too sympathetic as these guys have fleeced us all for years now, they charge extortionate rates (if they even turn up), the dont pay tax on anything, they drive about in teh biggest cars and basically have become the greedy rich of this country. Not saying this through jealousy as I am fairly comfortable and do have a large car but simply because these guys have robbed the other taxpayers for years. Not really looking for trouble in the property market but wont shed a tear for housebuilders or tradesmen.
Should not really be wishing this but I am quite glad these guys are being squeezed as they have had it so good for so long. Another potential fallout from this is a large number of tradesmen start to lose their jobs and again I am not too sympathetic as these guys have fleeced us all for years now, they charge extortionate rates (if they even turn up), the dont pay tax on anything, they drive about in teh biggest cars and basically have become the greedy rich of this country. Not saying this through jealousy as I am fairly comfortable and do have a large car but simply because these guys have robbed the other taxpayers for years. Not really looking for trouble in the property market but wont shed a tear for housebuilders or tradesmen.
Posted by: martin, cunning park ayr on 12:47pm Mon 16 Jun 08
Not really looking for trouble in the property market but wont shed a tear for housebuilders or tradesmen.[quote]quote[/quote] #
ESPECIALLY ELPHINSTONE HOMES & KENNETH ROSS
....OBE for services to construction industy ?
These developers & banks deserve everything thats coming to them , thankfully Elphinstone are committed to a few Large projects and it could damaged their business as well as other .
Not really looking for trouble in the property market but wont shed a tear for housebuilders or tradesmen.
quote
#
ESPECIALLY ELPHINSTONE HOMES & KENNETH ROSS
....OBE for services to construction industy ?
These developers & banks deserve everything thats coming to them , thankfully Elphinstone are committed to a few Large projects and it could damaged their business as well as other .
Posted by: Accies Man, Edinburgh on 1:48pm Mon 16 Jun 08
Simple economics tell us that supply and demand are linked. Demand for houses is still high - people are just struggling to get mortgages - so if supply slows then prices will go much higher once the banks loosen the purse-strings.
House building is a massive employer and a house building crash will severely impact on the economy, affecting us all.
If this were another industry (imagine cars or ship-building or coal mining as historic examples) people would be demanding it were saved.
Just, please, think of the consequences for all of us.
Simple economics tell us that supply and demand are linked. Demand for houses is still high - people are just struggling to get mortgages - so if supply slows then prices will go much higher once the banks loosen the purse-strings.
House building is a massive employer and a house building crash will severely impact on the economy, affecting us all.
If this were another industry (imagine cars or ship-building or coal mining as historic examples) people would be demanding it were saved.
Just, please, think of the consequences for all of us.
Posted by: IBOUHGTOFTHISBLOKE, edinburgh on 8:40am Thu 14 Aug 08
[bold]see Elphinstone homes kenneth ross has not bothered to build Elphinstone place - read all the bumpth about it being iconic and ready by 2008 , HE blames credit crunch , yes mr kenneth ross ..or no should i say im afraid your company isnt capable of doing things properly as i have found to my cost since 2005 and its still a big issue - will you bother doing what our mp asked you to do instead of ignoring him like you have done since april - obe , how much did that cost ????[/bold]
see Elphinstone homes kenneth ross has not bothered to build Elphinstone place - read all the bumpth about it being iconic and ready by 2008 , HE blames credit crunch , yes mr kenneth ross ..or no should i say im afraid your company isnt capable of doing things properly as i have found to my cost since 2005 and its still a big issue - will you bother doing what our mp asked you to do instead of ignoring him like you have done since april - obe , how much did that cost ???? Posted by: i boughtof this bloke, edinburgh on 9:07pm Mon 18 Aug 08
ken ross the elusive chairman of [bold]ELPHISNTONE HOMES/ GROUP[/bold] never responds to customers letters of even the local mps intervention is iginored is this a man who can make valid comments .
i see the tower at [bold]ELPHINSTONE PLACE[/bold] is now off `another` classic sound bites iconic building that we are proud to be part of , isnt happening ..nice publicity at the time but as with time all is revealed mr ross !!!
next on the agenda is the mansions at[bold] cunning[/bold] [bold]park ayr[/bold] good luck !
ken ross the elusive chairman of
ELPHISNTONE HOMES/ GROUP never responds to customers letters of even the local mps intervention is iginored is this a man who can make valid comments .
i see the tower at
ELPHINSTONE PLACE is now off `another` classic sound bites iconic building that we are proud to be part of , isnt happening ..nice publicity at the time but as with time all is revealed mr ross !!!
next on the agenda is the mansions at
cunning park ayr good luck !