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August 22, 2008 Est 1999 Scotland's award-winning independent newspaper
Sandinista ideals fail to resurrect a crippled nation
Promises ring hollow as IMF inspects failing economy From Bryan Kay in Managua

WHEN THE Sandinistas swept back to power in Nicaragua in late 2006 after more than 15 years on the sidelines, their campaign slogan, which still adorns a giant billboard in the centre of the capital Managua, read: "Rise the poor of the world!" The optimism with which the party led by Daniel Ortega retook the podium swept across the Central American country, with most citizens viewing the switch as a harbinger of change.

But as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) arrived in town last week for a two-week inspection of the economy, linked to a $112 million loan agreement, old wounds which were reopened almost as soon as Ortega won power began to seep still more.

Ortega was a revolutionary during the toppling of the US-backed Somoza dictatorship in 1979. He assumed the presidency of the Sandinista government in the 1980s as it fought the US-sponsored Contra rebellion, eventually ceding power in 1991 as the country suffered the effects of the brutal conflict.

His current term of office has similarly been marked by war with the US, only this time his weapon of choice has been his tongue. The IMF, too, has been on the receiving end of strong words.

Yet while firing broadsides from such places as the pulpit of the United Nations in New York and standing in solidarity marches with Venezuela's Hugo Chavez, in the background Ortega has co-operated with the US, giving a lie to the public shows of defiance.

In one deal under the US-Central American free-trade agreement, he was said to have maintained good relations with an American textile firm building a multi-million dollar plant in the country.

But then, as the meeting with the IMF got underway, more than 1000 workers marched in protest outside the Central Bank venue over supposed IMF pressure on the government to resist salary rises. It typifies the Jekyll and Hyde persona Ortega appears to have assumed.

While the machinations continue, however, the streets of Nicaragua continue to be riddled with poverty and, for many, hope has all but evaporated.

Ortega promised "zero unemployment" and "zero hunger" but critics say little progress has been made. Hostel worker Angela Lopez claimed nothing has changed. "The talk about free education and free health this was good," she said. "But there are still so many kids who can't get to school and access to free university education is bad.

"Thousands of children are sleeping on the streets. They're addicted to drugs and drinking alcohol, but there's nowhere for them to go to get help." Jose Luis, 16, is one. He spends his days helping tourists find a place to stay, earning $1 from small hotel owners for each one he finds. Stumbling and smelling strongly of alcohol, his eyes glazed over, he said: "I can get you anything, marijuana, cocaine ..." He is part of a stark statistic. An estimated 80% of Nicaraguans live on $2 per day or less and the country continues to be the second poorest in Latin American, behind Haiti.

The financial picture is bleak. The IMF will inspect an economy that last year posted an inflation rate of nearly 17%, the highest in Central America and some 7% more than in 2006, according to preliminary figures. Similarly, economic growth in 2007 was just 3.4%, down from 4.2% the previous year.

Economist Nestor Avendano said that in order for the country to see a real reduction in poverty, growth must hit 8-10%. But current predictions for 2008 are around half that.

During its stay, the IMF also plans to evaluate the Ortega government's compliance with the economic package that includes the $112m loan. One of the key issues for discussion is that of aid from Venezuela. Ortega has come under attack for failing to disclose the amount Chavez has pledged the country.

Much of his hopes seem pinned on Venezuelan aid and oil. Shortly after he took power, Nicaragua joined Venezuela and Cuba in the left-leaning Alba bloc of countries designed to offset US influence. One plan would see a $4 billion oil refinery built in Nicaragua with cash from the South American country.

One incident last August saw Ortega at loggerheads with US-owned Esso, which owns Nicaragua's only existing refinery. Reeling from an energy crisis blackouts plagued the nation last year and an inability to get his hands on oil promised by Chavez, Ortega briefly took control of the refinery site under the guise that Esso owed almost $3m in back taxes in order to offload some of the Venezuelan oil.

Despite such incidents, Paul Trivelli, US ambassador to Nicaragua, has said it is clear that Ortega wants to court both sides. "Our relationship is a reasonable working relationship," he told local media. "So in that sense he continues to sort of walk that line." As the political games continue, the poor of Nicaragua are still waiting to see the campaign promises materialise.

Billboards such as the one rousing the poor of the world litter the city.

But Saray, from Rio Blanco, a northern rural town, says the poor are likely to rise against Ortega. "He has changed nothing. People are leaving on all sides. To Guatemala, El Salvador, Costa Rica or even the United States if they can."

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Posted by: Robert Clark, London on 11:46am Sun 2 Mar 08
Interesting article.

Ortega has made many compromises to get re-elected. When I heard, during the last election campaign, that the Sandinistas had decided to opposed abortion, I knew that the radical movement that made so much progress in the 1980s had sold out.

However, the article should be clearer on the main cause of Nicaragua's problems, namely US foreign policy. It was the USA that propped up Somoza's dictatorship for decades. Then, when the Sandinista revolution swept them aside, Reaganites such as John Negroponte convinced their half-senile President that Sandinistas were all commies, based, famously, "just 48 hours' drive from Texas". The USA then funded the counter-revolution, bombing harbours, attacking schools, hospitals etc.

The US attack on Panama City in December 1989, to oust Noriega (ex-CIA agent), not only killed c3,000 innocent bystanders (a 9/11-scale atrocity) but sent out a clear message, during the Nicaraguan elections, that they could expect the same if they persisted in backing the Sandionistas. Result: Ortega was defeated and (contrary to his supposedly Stalinist inclinations) stepped aside.

There then followed 25 years of free-market economics and the exodus of Nicaragua's youth to the USA for economic reasons.

Yet when poor Cubans opt to try for a more prosperous future in the USA, they are welcomed with open arms under the USA's preferential "Wet Foot, Dry Foot" policy exclusively for Cuban immigrant.

Not only that, Cuban emigration is used as "evidence" to demonstrate the failings of the Cuban system, whereas the streams of Mexicans, Nicaraguans, Haitians and other nationalities trying to enter the USA illegally are somehow never presented as evidence of the failure of free-market economics.

Hypocrisy!

The best that Nicaragua could do would be to consolidate its current alliance with Cuba and Venezuela and ditch the unelected, unaccountable IMF (easier said than done, of course).

http://robertgordonc
lark.com/?p=292
Posted by: Robert Clark, London on 12:04pm Sun 2 Mar 08
"There then followed 25 years of free-market economics...."

Hmmmm. 1989 to 2008 is 19 years, not 25.

My mental arithmetic was as accurate as US friendly fire in Iraq.

That's what happens when you post comments before having your breakfast porridge!
Posted by: Los Angeles, Edinburgh on 6:20pm Sun 2 Mar 08
But as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) arrived in town last week for a two-week inspection of the economy, linked to a $112 million loan agreement,
Who trusts the IMF and their US economic doctrine; loans attached to draconian conditions?
Posted by: Tim and Anna Webster, San Juan Del Sur, Nicaragua on 6:42pm Sun 2 Mar 08
We live here, and are seeing a huge increase in robberies that have now become violent. Tourists are being robbed by men armed with both machetes and guns on our beaches and on the roads leading to the beaches. Our neighbor and her family were robbed one week ago by eight men at gun-point, and were subsequently kidnapped for a horrible 5 hours before they could escape. The police have been unable to catch these criminals. They have no means of mobility, since Ortega gave all of the new cars and motorcycles to the traffic division. When we were robbed three Sundays ago, we had to go pick up the police to bring them to the scene of the crime to make a report. The U.S. Embassy has been notified. Until we know of the governments' plan of action, both U.S. and Nicaragua, four families in our area have employed armed security guards 24/7. This is not the Nicaragua we fell in love with. We are taking positive action, and hope that with the help of the Nicaraguan people who don't want us to leave, we can put a stop to the terror.
Tim and Anna Webster
Posted by: Los Angeles, Edinburgh on 2:06pm Mon 3 Mar 08

When Tim Met Anna
This is not the Nicaragua we fell in love with.
And you just happen to be reading the Sunday Herald column of all newspapers and thought to tell us life in Nicaragua is hell? Sounds like some parts of Glasgow on a Saturday night.

You could always go back to drug running for prosperity and security.


Posted by: Roberto Ximenej, America on 3:51pm Tue 4 Mar 08
Painting miserable picture of places do not give any right to the painter. However trying to erase the US intervention through out the history of Nicaragua and trying to blame the locals of it all is dishonest. Do you remember how the contras where financed? Drug business done my Adorable Reagan. And where is this drug war at now? Blame Central America for the failures. It seems a standard of the Republican governments. Nicaragua deserves better of this newspaper and much better of the US government.
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