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July 04, 2008 Est 1999 Scotland's award-winning independent newspaper
Back down or break away ... the choice facing New Labour
Part Three: Analysis
By Iain Macwhirter

IT HAS been, by common consent, Wendy Alexander's worst week since she became leader, worse even than the row over her dodgy donations. She began it defying Gordon Brown by calling for an early referendum on independence, making it look as if the prime minister had lost control of Scotland; she ended it with a humiliating U-turn, pretending she didn't really want a referendum after all. The press has pronounced sentence of political death. But before she goes to the gallows, perhaps we should look at what she was trying to do. There was method in her madness.

The situation Labour faces in Scotland is dire and Alexander is not the only one in the party who believes something drastic has to be done to stop the Alex Salmond steamroller. There's little point in Labour sitting on their hands and watching the SNP attract more and more voters to its cause as Salmond runs a highly successful devolved government - the kind of government Labour should have run when they were in office.

Not only is Salmond's personal popularity an astonishing 70% ahead of the Labour leader's, the polls indicate that the SNP would probably return with a landslide if there were an election tomorrow. And in recent polls, such as System Three's in the Sunday Herald three weeks ago, there have been signs that the Nationalists are beginning to win the argument for independence. Doing nothing isn't an option.

Most of Scottish Labour's political problems arise from their image as poodles of London Labour. Labour's former first minister, Jack McConnell, always seemed to be looking over his shoulder at his political masters, and was, we now know, often treated with casual contempt by the "godfather", Brown. McConnell was widely criticised for failing to assert himself on issues like Iraq, Trident, nuclear power, attendance allowances and detention of asylum seekers. The SNP taunted Labour's inability to "stand up for Scotland".

Now, there really only is one way of standing up for yourself, and that is to get up off your knees. And to give Alexander credit where it is due, that is what she has tried to do, even if she has been knocked back down again by a great clunking fist. But there really was no other way; you can't rebel by consensus.

There is huge frustration in the Labour Party at the SNP being allowed to introduce a raft of popular social-democratic policies such as phasing out prescription charges, ending ring-fencing of local government funding, curbing right-to-buy and kick-starting council housing. Labour had to get the SNP off their turf by forcing Salmond to start talking about nationalism again - about scary things like currencies, borders, national debt, separatism, Europe. One way to do this, clearly, was to attempt to bring forward the independence referendum and force the SNP to show their hand, instead of allowing them to shelve the issue until 2010. Hence the "Bring it on" declaration on The Politics Show on Sunday.

That much had been agreed with London. However, it was when Alexander started talking about holding her own early referendum that things started to go pear-shaped. Over the past week she has been in almost daily contact with Brown, but it seems the messages got confused.

It seems Brown thought she was merely challenging the SNP to put their referendum bill before Holyrood now instead of waiting until 2010, not proposing an independence referendum as a matter of principle. Brown told the Tory leader David Cameron at Prime Minister's Question time on Wednesday that Alexander had not called for a referendum on independence "now", when she clearly had. And she repeated it the next day at First Minister's Questions at Holyrood - as clear and unequivocal an act of defiance as anyone could have expected.

It looked as though Brown had lost control of his own Scottish turf. The exchanges of letters with Cameron, did nothing to clarify matters. There is simply no way of reconciling what the prime minister said about the referendum and what the leader of the Scottish Labour group at Holyrood said. Something had to give.

As we report today, Team Wendy suggest that it was Brown who bottled it and simply couldn't bring himself to call for a referendum in front of Cameron, largely because the PM didn't want to be taunted about his reluctance to hold a referendum on the EU treaty. It was a case of Brown playing Macavity again - trying not to be at the scene of the crime.

Grumbling erupted almost immediately on the Labour benches at Westminster, where Alexander was being compared to a "suicide bomber" determined to destroy the credibility of the UK Labour party for her own selfish interests. Is this what Alexander is about? Is she determined to blow Labour's UK credibility to smithereens just so she can portray herself as the new Madame Ecosse?

Well, some in Team Wendy believe that Brown has already blown himself to bits and has effectively lost the next UK general election. This would leave Salmond holding his 2010 referendum against the backdrop of a Tory administration at Westminster. This could turn the referendum into a vote, not on the constitution, but on the restoration of Tory rule in Scotland, which is why it seemed imperative to force the referendum issue sooner rather than later.

What began as a reasonable strategy for undermining the SNP turned into a clash of authority between Alexander and Brown. Scottish secretary Des Browne has been left in an impossible position, trying not to say anything at all while being pursued by the Scottish media. If he backed Alexander he risked the wrath of Brown; if he backed the PM he risked forcing Alexander's resignation.

We are told Alexander has now been told to "pipe down" and that the "men in grey kilts" are preparing to give her her marching orders. However, I am not sure there are any men in grey kilts, and I don't see any obvious replacement for her as Scottish leader. And she is unlikely to break the habit of a lifetime and stop talking.

However, she has now destroyed what credibility she had left by agreeing to yesterday's abject U-turn and by pretending that she hadn't been serious about calling for a referendum in the first place. The whole exercise has only confirmed that Labour in Scotland simply cannot go their own way, at least under Alexander. That in the end, Labour in Scotland does what they are told and are unable to speak for themselves, let alone speak for Scotland.

This should have been a turning point for Labour in Scotland: the moment when it finally asserted itself against London and reinvented itself as the Scottish Labour Party, a political entity in its own right, with its own leadership, policy agenda and organisation. Alexander was right in her analysis of the political situation, but she clearly lacked the political authority to achieve the necessary outcome. She has been slapped down. Labour have been made to look absurd and the only people who benefit are the SNP.

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Posted by: Wardog, Buckie on 12:14am Sun 11 May 08
Wendy Alexander continues telling porkies even in retreat

The SPp have not stopped Labour taking forward a Referendum Bill, the Scottish parliament prevents parties bringing forward bills which the Government have already signalled will be brought forward.

Wendy's statement is factually incorrect

Wendy categorically claimed on Newsnicht Scotland, in front of a national audience that Gordon brown had been consulted on this policy change.

Again, that is not what seems to have happened, so why did Wendy LIE on live national TV?

Another friend of Labour's Holyrood leader said of Brown's advisers:

"They just don't give a f*** about Scotland. All they care about is the next general election."


Well, we don't to add much to that do we.

Can anyone still be defending this women, within the space of less than 12 months, she has been found out to be a habitual liar, incompetent in her understanding of parliamentary standards and standing orders and in complete crisis with her own party over policy change and consultation.

I know some nationalists say that she should stay but seriously, she must GO, having an incompetent opposition like this does not help Scotland
Posted by: Wardog, Buckie on 12:22am Sun 11 May 08
Now, there really only is one way of standing up for yourself, and that is to get up off your knees. And to give Alexander credit where it is due, that is what she has tried to do, even if she has been knocked back down again by a great clunking fist.


Says all you need to know about unionist parties and their view of Scotland & Home Rule.
Posted by: jim mitchell, Sauchie, clack's on 12:24am Sun 11 May 08
Labour had to get the SNP off their turf by forcing Salmond to start talking about nationalism again - about scary things like currencies, borders, national debt, separatism, Europe. One way to do this, clearly, was to attempt to bring forward the independence referendum and force the SNP to show their hand, instead of allowing them to shelve the issue until 2010. Hence the "Bring it on" declaration on The Politics Show on Sunday.

Ian you credit the lady with too much intelligence!


Posted by: Im no really here, but over there on 12:56am Sun 11 May 08
Labour had to get the SNP off their turf by forcing Salmond to start talking about nationalism again - about scary things like currencies, borders, national debt, separatism, Europe.
And did she get the SNP into such a debate? SNP does not talk about such things - these are all the ingredients of unionist scare tactics.
The whole exercise has only confirmed that Labour in Scotland simply cannot go their own way, at least under Alexander. That in the end, Labour in Scotland does what they are told and are unable to speak for themselves, let alone speak for Scotland.
Don't you just love it when journalists eventually end up saying what we've been saying for years - and yet make it sound as though this is an exclusive revelation of theirs.

Sorry, Iain, Wendy was NOT RIGHT IN HER ANALYSIS. Her only reason for doing this was a cynical attempt at party politics using a major Scottish issue. Also your last sentence should read "Labour have been made to look absurd and the only people who benefit are the people of Scotland".

Perhaps you are right that SLAB should declare UDI and set up their own seperate Party. I understand that Tommy Sheridan has a spare party going.
Posted by: Im no really here, but over there on 1:00am Sun 11 May 08
It's comical that whenever Wendy makes a major statement, she has to follow it up within the week saying she's not going to resign and that she has the full support of Labour's MSP's and WMP's.
Posted by: Tam Hickey, Glasgow on 2:24am Sun 11 May 08
Inept political buffoonery of the highest (lowest?) order. And to think, this charlatan aspires to lead Scotland? Broon's just shown his contempt for his native land, its people and its Government. Time for them both to go.
Posted by: Donald Anderson, glasgow on 5:37am Sun 11 May 08
You know what happens soon after a Party leader comes on telly denying all rumours of resignation. They just can't stop lying. She'll be damned if she does and damned if she doesn't. My Prezza and Tony can let her stay in one of their English gaffs. If not, she can aye try Jersey.
Posted by: JP, Glasgow on 7:45am Sun 11 May 08
Tragically. Every single word of this article is correct.
Posted by: Lowperdowg, Bay of Bengal on 8:46am Sun 11 May 08
There is huge frustration in the Labour Party at the SNP being allowed to introduce a raft of popular social-democratic policies such as phasing out prescription charges, ending ring-fencing of local government funding, curbing right-to-buy and kick-starting council housing. Labour had to get the SNP off their turf


Outrageous.

How dare the SNP do such things.

And, to make matters worse, in the words of the political leviathan, Lord Foulkes of Glenlivet, "They are doing it deliberately!"

At this point, I must make a public apology to all those I have wrongly criticised over the past couple of years:

Alf Young, Douglas Fraser, Iain McWhirter, all at the Scotsman, all at the BBC and last and certainly not least, the Electoral Commission.

You have nurtured and sheltered Alexander and Brown through their political careers, protecting them from the attacks of vermin and gnats. You have proclaimed their abilities and ensured that they would be around until this glorious ripening of the New Labour harvest.

From the bottom of my heart, I thank you.

I think that I will have a lie down now.
Posted by: Colin Wilson, Aberdeen on 9:13am Sun 11 May 08
The SNP taunted Labour's inability to "stand up for Scotland". Now, there really only is one way of standing up for yourself, and that is to get up off your knees. And to give Alexander credit where it is due, that is what she has tried to do, even if she has been knocked back down again by a great clunking fist.
This is missing the point. You can't be a Unionist AND stand up for Scotland. Maybe you could be if the UK was a benevolent organisation, but it isn't. It was founded as the constitutional and political framework for Scotland to be controlled and exploited, and that's the purpose it still serves. You can support this, or you can stand up for Scotland. You can't do both.
Posted by: Red Etin on 9:55am Sun 11 May 08
Scottish Labour people,

GET UP AFF YER KNEES!. Support independence for Scotland and stop maintaining this Unionist/Tory alliance. Broon is toast at the next general election. Only a strong independent Scotland can resist the forthcoming Tory dominance of Scotland from London.
Posted by: Alex Gordon, Glasgow on 10:33am Sun 11 May 08
Colin your analysis of the Union makes good reading but is essentially incorrect.
The union was created to oppose monarchical absolutism and support the Protestant succesion in these islands. Most of Scottish society benefited fromaccess to markets etcetera.
The political landscape and imperatives that drove the union have changed, so it no longer makes sense.
Posted by: Lowperdowg, Bay of Bengal on 10:41am Sun 11 May 08
From today's Guardian, a heartwarming tale:

Based on internet responses from a 5,000-strong panel taken over the past five days, the survey shows that Brown's overall satisfaction rating has crashed to minus 55 per cent . Fewer than a quarter of voters now think he is the best person to be in Number 10. And 43 per cent choose Cameron as best Prime Minister against just 23 per cent for Brown.

The panel was also asked to say what sort of government they would prefer if forced to choose between a Brown-led government and a Cameron one. This is often a better predictor than party shares of the outcome of general elections. A Tory government is preferred to a Labour one by a margin of 50 to 32 per cent. There are more voters who think the Conservatives would do a better job of governing than there are voters who think they would do a worse job.

In every key leadership category, Brown is now seen less favourably than his rival. Cameron is seen as more caring, competent, decisive, effective, fair, forward-looking, in touch with normal people, intelligent, likeable and moderate. He is also rated as stronger, more reliable and more trustworthy.

More damage was done to Brown's leadership last night as John Prescott revealed in his memoirs that he had urged Tony Blair to sack his Chancellor, but that Blair was 'scared' of him. The former Deputy Prime Minister described Brown as 'annoying, bewildering and prickly'.


-55%. Ouch.

Looks like you backed the wrong horse, Iain.

Posted by: Grassy Knollington on 10:43am Sun 11 May 08
Lowperdowg wrote:
There is huge frustration in the Labour Party at the SNP being allowed to introduce a raft of popular social-democratic policies such as phasing out prescription charges, ending ring-fencing of local government funding, curbing right-to-buy and kick-starting council housing. Labour had to get the SNP off their turf


Outrageous.

How dare the SNP do such things.

And, to make matters worse, in the words of the political leviathan, Lord Foulkes of Glenlivet, "They are doing it deliberately!"

At this point, I must make a public apology to all those I have wrongly criticised over the past couple of years:

Alf Young, Douglas Fraser, Iain McWhirter, all at the Scotsman, all at the BBC and last and certainly not least, the Electoral Commission.

You have nurtured and sheltered Alexander and Brown through their political careers, protecting them from the attacks of vermin and gnats. You have proclaimed their abilities and ensured that they would be around until this glorious ripening of the New Labour harvest.

From the bottom of my heart, I thank you.

I think that I will have a lie down now.
Lowperdowg:
Just superb.
Posted by: DougtheDug on 11:09am Sun 11 May 08
Most of Scottish Labour's political problems arise from their image as poodles of London Labour.
Two thing's wrong with this statement Iain. One, here is no difference between "Scottish" Labour and "London" Labour, they're both part of the monolithic British Labour Party and two, it's not an "image" problem it is the true and actual relationship between the British Labour Party members in Scotland and the Leadership in Westminster.

I also don't like you maligning poodles who are tough, intelligent and very independent dogs, the complete antithesis of the qualities that British Labour display in Scotland.
This should have been a turning point for Labour in Scotland: the moment when it finally asserted itself against London and reinvented itself as the Scottish Labour Party, a political entity in its own right, with its own leadership, policy agenda and organisation.
What a load of wish fulfillment nonsense Iain, the only way to achieve that would be to form a new breakaway Scottish Labour Party. That would involve independent thought, a degree of national pride and a lot of political courage. A non-starter for the members of the British Labour Party in Scotland.

Lowperdowg:
You have nurtured and sheltered Alexander and Brown through their political careers, protecting them from the attacks of vermin and gnats. You have proclaimed their abilities and ensured that they would be around until this glorious ripening of the New Labour harvest.
Great post, and as you imply, the harvest was meant to be a crop of functionaries, yes-men and lobby-fodder who would do the bidding of the leadership in Westminster.

The nasty SNP have changed the political climate and this crop is withering and dying as they are forced to fend and think for themselves.

If the SNP wasn't there the competition in Scotland would be Nicol Stephen and Annabel Goldie. It would have been survival of the thickest not the survival of the fittest in that political ecosystem and the British Labour Party in Scotland would have flourished.
Posted by: megz, glasgow on 11:16am Sun 11 May 08
Most of Scottish Labour's political problems arise from their image as poodles of London Labour. Labour's former first minister, Jack McConnell, always seemed to be looking over his shoulder at his political masters, and was, we now know, often treated with casual contempt by the "godfather", Brown. McConnell was widely criticised for failing to assert himself on issues like Iraq, Trident, nuclear power, attendance allowances and detention of asylum seekers. The SNP taunted Labour's inability to "stand up for Scotland".

Now, there really only is one way of standing up for yourself, and that is to get up off your knees. And to give Alexander credit where it is due, that is what she has tried to do, even if she has been knocked back down again by a great clunking fist.


Well this episode has done nothing to dispel the image of being londons poodle. If anything it has merely shown it to be true. How can any of the unionist parties expect the scottish people to trust them to work in the best interests of scotland when they have to do what is best for the uk first and foremost?
Posted by: The Laird, Alba on 11:20am Sun 11 May 08
The whole exercise only confirms that Labour cannot go its own way in Scotland,FULL STOP.
They cannot be called Scottish anymore, at best they are British, and no more than that.All thinking Scots have seen through the UK many years ago. You only have to see why the UK was formed to realise beyond any doubt that its time is over. Back to the future and Independence asap.
Posted by: Grassy Knollington on 11:37am Sun 11 May 08
Most of Scottish Labour's political problems arise from their image as poodles of London Labour
That's like saying America's image problem is that people think they invaded Iraq.
It's not an image problem Iain, it's a cold hard reality. In fact presenting it as an "image problem" is in itself just more tired Unionist spin.
Posted by: Bob, Edinburgh on 11:38am Sun 11 May 08
Is it not fascinating that we could be presented with the reverse West Lothian question whereby a Tory led Westminster would be "responsible" for making the independence referendum

Discuss

I am not sure about you but I see England as more and more of a "foreign" country who see their saviours as a bunch of toffs - as my son says it as though it's the 1800's.
Posted by: Scott2006, Outside Glasgow on 12:23pm Sun 11 May 08
This Sunday also Ms Wendy Alexander will appear on the Politics Show on BBC1 in a few minutes...

Perhaps, if she makes a coherent point, i'll comment on her comments as well as the reasonably accurate situation as described here by Iain.

Wendy is a one woman wrecking-ball.
Posted by: lobeydosser, Woodlands Road on 7:15pm Sun 11 May 08
SLAB and Labour are in a pickle but SLAB should get off their knees, however there will be a count down to a constitutional crisis if they do. Let me explain.

Phase 1: Wendy resigns, a MSP in the most safe SLAB seat resigns due to (ahem)'ill health' and a by election is called, a Scottish political heavyweight is brought up from London and takes the seat (a big assumption going on the last weeks performance).
Phase 2: Heavy weight becomes Leader of SLAB and reorganises the party, expells those not toeing the line.
Phase 3: SLAB and London Labour bounce Holyrood into the Independence referendum too early for proper debate, with the propaganda designed to point the finger at these 'nasty Scots' and could win the referendum, well at least that's what they hope.
Phase 4: go back to being the way we were prior to the 2007 election, or even 1999 and the labour party is saved.

Sounds like a banana republic; party before people.
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