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Scottish Sunday: England's Euro 2008 Hopes Hang in the Balance

Inevitable Media Scapegoats

If you happen to support England, leave aside the gnashing of teeth and tearing of hair for a little while. True, if Russia beat Israel next month, you can feel free to make alternative plans during Euro 2008. Russia would then only need to return from Andorra with three points and it would all be over for Steve McClaren's troops (unless Croatia contrive to lose to both Macedonia and England, the latter by three goals).

The good news is that, on their own soil, Israel is far from pushovers. They have lost only one competitive home game in the past nine years. In that timespan, they have avoided home defeats against the likes of France, Spain and, of course, England.

That said, defeat in Moscow last Wednesday rocked English football to its foundations. Just how the country with the richest league in the world could fail to find a place among the top 16 in Europe is difficult to comprehend. And the implications are, frankly, disastrous. The Football Association has invested heavily in everything from Wembley Stadium (the most expensive sporting venue in history, at an outrageous £778 million) to McClaren himself (a three-year deal worth nearly £9m). Some £8m in sponsorship contracts would be voided if they fail to qualify. And one study estimates that the loss to the English economy could amount to a staggering £1.25 billion. That last figure is just an economist's estimate, take it for what it's worth. Yet even if it were a quarter of that, the impact would be severe.

Nor would it please Uefa's organising committee. England is, after all, a big draw and their absence would impact on everything from ticket sales to the next round of TV rights negotiations.

Searching for Scapegoats

Given all that, it was inevitable the media would look for a scapegoat. McClaren and Paul Robinson were two obvious choices. Perhaps too obvious. Picking on McClaren is like shooting fish in a barrel. Too easy and somewhat cruel. This is a man who ploughed through some £70m in five seasons in club management, finishing in the Premiership top ten just once. What were people expecting? The only reason he is the England manager now is that he was the kind of compromise candidate the FA's wise men could agree upon: neither the Alan Curbishley camp nor the Sam Allardyce camp could stomach the other's candidate. McClaren was everyone's second choice in a field of three. And, given the extreme dearth of decent English managers, that was that.

Hindsight is 20/20 and it's easy to point out his mistakes. Yet, McClaren, perhaps more than any other England manager, allowed himself to be guided by the media and popular sentiment. Whether it was recalling David Beckham or dropping Frank Lampard. McClaren did not make the kind of bold, imaginative choices that guys making £60,000 a week should be expected to make. He followed conventional wisdom at every turn. In that sense, his failure would be England's failure, as he mirrored the popular will at every opportunity.

As for Robinson, it's true that he is going through a terrible patch at club level and took his bad form to Moscow. But what were the alternatives? David James, whom the pundits famously dubbed "Calamity James"? Or perhaps youngsters Robert Green or Scott Carson who, between them, have played exactly 45 minutes of international football? Dropping Robinson would have exposed McClaren to even more criticism and, as we've seen, he's not the type of boss to go out on a limb.

Reality Check for England's Superstars

The line emerging is the usual one regularly trodden out by ex-pros: England is a side packed with talented superstars up and down the pitch. The hype portrays the England squad as the second coming of Brazil circa 1970. And therefore, if England fails to sweep away everything in their path, it must be the fault of the manager or whatever designated scapegoat is handy at the time.

This attitude is neither healthy nor logical. Look at the team. Micah Richards turned 19 less than four months ago, Joleon Lescott is not a left-back and was winning just his second cap, Gareth Barry was making just his fourth competitive start for England and Shaun Wright-Philips and Joe Cole are hardly week in, week out regulars at Chelsea.

This is not to say that, with players such as these, England should not be expected to qualify. Rather, perhaps the "world-class" label gets thrown around a little too easily these days when it comes to English footballers. And maybe part of the problem is that, while England is undeniably pound-for-pound the best side in their qualifying group, the reality is that they are not so much better than everyone else that they can simply coast through with a second-rate manager and a goalkeeper who is enduring a very difficult patch. Not unless the rest of the side pull together and lift the team. Which is exactly what did not happen in Moscow.

The Impact on Hotels and the Hospitality Industry

The failure of England to qualify for Euro 2008 would not only have a significant impact on the football landscape but also on various industries closely related to the sport. One such industry is the hospitality sector, particularly hotels.

Major international football tournaments attract fans and tourists from around the world, and the absence of England would undoubtedly affect hotel bookings and occupancy rates. England's national team has a large and passionate following, and their absence from the tournament would result in fewer fans traveling to support their team.

Hotels located near stadiums or in host cities often benefit from increased business during international tournaments. Tourists typically stay for several days, providing a boost to the local economy. Such an influx of visitors contributes to increased hotel revenue, as well as additional spending in restaurants, cafes, and shops.

Moreover, the impact extends beyond just the tournament itself. The hype and excitement surrounding a major international football event generate interest, attracting tourists who may not have initially planned to visit the host country. The absence of England could lead to a decline in overall tourism numbers during the tournament period.

Hotel owners and operators, therefore, have a vested interest in England's success in qualifying for Euro 2008. The presence of England in the tournament would undoubtedly bring economic benefits to the hospitality industry and the wider community.

Manchester

Edinburgh

Liverpool

Brighton

Birmingham

Bath

Bristol

Exeter

Bradford (West Yorkshire)

Cardiff

Harrogate

Nottingham

Norwich

Llandudno

Windsor

Ambleside

Swansea

Carlisle (Cumbria)

Fort William

Newquay (Cornwall)

Bordeaux

Avebury

Ingliston

Lurgan

Seamill

Forest Row

Tilbury