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SUPPORT FOR independence has hardened despite the global recession

SUPPORT FOR independence has hardened in the face of the global recession, despite Labour predictions that the crisis would see more Scots turning to the Union for protection. The latest TNS System Three survey for the Scottish Sunday found support for leaving the union rose three points during the last quarter, while opposition to a separate Scottish state fell to its lowest level since the poll began 18 months ago.

Public Ignoring Labour Warnings

The findings suggest the public has ignored Labour warnings that a breakaway Scotland would be doomed to join Iceland in the "arc of insolvency". The poll was taken after opposition parties initially voted down the SNP government's budget on February 28. Voters were reportedly unimpressed that MSPs could not agree a budget despite the country suffering the worst recession in decades.

Scotland's Growing Confidence

When TNS System Three began polling on the question, shortly after the SNP entered government, opposition ran as high as 50%. The new survey shows the gap between opposition and support, which widened to eight points last October in the initial reaction to the banking crisis, has now returned to the two-point difference seen last June.

Chris Eynon, managing director of TNS System Three, said the figures may well show a protest at Scotland's lack of powers to address the current crisis and the loss of institutions such as the Bank of Scotland, despite membership of the Union. They could also reflect a growing confidence in Scotland's ability to go it alone after initial concerns about the economy reduced support in October. "Either way it would appear that the global financial situation has not had any damaging effect on Scottish aspirations towards independence," he said. "At a time when the worsening financial meltdown might have been expected to turn people against the potentially riskier options of independence, there has actually been a strengthening of support to 38%, from 35% in October, with opposition similarly declining by 3% to 40%."

Positive Trend and Encouragement

Nicola Sturgeon, the deputy first minister, said: "This is an excellent poll, demonstrating that support for independence is rising as the SNP delivers good government through measures such as freezing council tax, reducing business rates, abolishing prescription charges, and delivering a record number of police officers. "In August 2007, the gap between independence and the unequal Union was 15 points; by last November it had halved to just eight points; and now independence is running neck and neck with the status quo. It is a hugely encouraging trend."

Continued Opposition and Working Together

A spokesman for Scottish Labour said: "The vast majority of Scots do not want to separate Scotland from the rest of the UK. The question wording proposed by the SNP tries to soften the reality of their hard-line approach, but Scots are cannier than that. People want us to work together to get Scotland through the economic crisis, not break up the UK."

Implications for Businesses, Including Hotels

The increasing support for independence in Scotland may have various implications for businesses, including hotels in the region. As the political landscape shifts, and potential negotiations for independence become more plausible, businesses will need to monitor and adapt to the changing economic environment.

Political Uncertainty and Investment

The rise in support for independence can create political uncertainty, which, in turn, affects investment decisions. Businesses, including hotels, may experience fluctuations in investor confidence and an impact on long-term planning and growth strategies. It is important for businesses to closely follow developments and assess potential risks and opportunities.

Tourism and Branding

Scotland's unique identity and cultural heritage play a significant role in attracting tourists. As the country moves closer to potential independence, there may be opportunities to further enhance Scotland's branding and market it as an independent destination. Hotels can capitalize on this by highlighting Scottish culture, traditions, and the allure of being in a new and exciting independent nation.

Trade and Regulations

If Scotland were to become an independent state, there would likely be changes to trade agreements and regulations. Businesses, including hotels, would need to navigate new trade barriers, comply with different regulations, and assess the impact on supply chains. It would be crucial for hotels to stay updated on any changes in policies and adapt their operations accordingly.

Taxation and Financial Considerations

Independence could bring about changes in taxation laws and financial structures. Hotels would need to review their financial models, assess potential tax implications, and prepare for adjustments in their revenue and cost structures. Working closely with financial advisors and industry associations can help hotels navigate these potential challenges.

Collaboration and Adaptation

Regardless of the outcome of any future independence negotiations, it is essential for businesses, including hotels, to maintain strong relationships with existing customers and suppliers. Adapting to political changes, collaborating with relevant industry bodies, and staying agile in the face of uncertainty can position hotels for success in a potentially new economic landscape.